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Dr Bo's answer is good. However, people who say "it's not flip-flopping; when the data changes, of course policy should change" need to bear in mind that there is one key assumption up for debate: "when the data changes." To avoid possibly begging the question, we must ask: - did the data really change? - does the change in the data justify a change in policy? For instance, the claim that the data "changed" might be due to discrepancies between measurement methods, measured periods, or some other form of noise-introducing factor. Changes in data also do not always justify policy changes - or at least, this should be debated first. In the case of Covid-19, perhaps cases do rise significantly. Panicking, the government decides to enable a lockdown policy, despite claiming previously that, because of vaccines, the threat of mass hospitalisation has heavily subsided and a lockdown is no longer needed. One may say, "the data changed, so of course they should flip flop" - but so what? It is possible that the vaccines have reduced incidence of severe illness to the point where a rise in cases may actually be acceptable, or at least, would imply a less drastic policy than a full shutdown. So we must check to make sure "the data" actually implies the policy change we support. Otherwise, this becomes another fact-to-fiction fallacy where we accuse people who disagree of being "anti-science", a popular cliché during the first wave of lockdowns in early 2020. |
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answered on Wednesday, Dec 08, 2021 04:26:38 PM by TrappedPrior (RotE) | ||||
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I wrote about this in my book, Uncomfortable Ideas. To answer your question, there is no fallacy. I believe it is simply a misunderstanding of an important concept in critical thinking—following the evidence. It is Okay to Change Your Mind Interviewer: You have been quoted previously as being in support for this position, now you no longer support it. Don’t you think you’re being inconsistent? It seems as if berating politicians and leaders is a favorite pastime here in America. Those who are anti-Obama like to remind us of the time when Obama was against gay marriage. During the 2016 Presidential election, videos lampooning Trump’s different opinions over time were not in short supply. In the 2004 Presidential election, John Kerry was synonymous with the term “flip-flopper.” Those who are unfamiliar with the scientific method commonly criticize science for “changing its mind,” referring to the seemingly never-ending stream of new studies that appear to contradict the scientific norm. This obsession with consistency is part of our personal lives, as well.
The key point is that the negatives associated with changing one’s mind all depend on the reasons. Reactively, we can’t know the reasons since knowing the reasons take deliberate cognitive thought. We are our minds. When our minds change, we change. Every idea, opinion, belief and value we have that changes, changes who we are even if in the smallest of ways. We become better people by making an effort to understand the world in such a way that promotes universal well-being. This involves changing our minds at times and accepting uncomfortable ideas. |
answered on Wednesday, Dec 08, 2021 12:42:39 PM by Bo Bennett, PhD | |
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