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Many of our ideas about the world are based more on feelings than facts, sensibilities than science, and rage than reality. We gravitate toward ideas that make us feel comfortable in areas such as religion, politics, philosophy, social justice, love and sex, humanity, and morality. We avoid ideas that make us feel uncomfortable. This avoidance is a largely unconscious process that affects our judgment and gets in the way of our ability to reach rational and reasonable conclusions. By understanding how our mind works in this area, we can start embracing uncomfortable ideas and be better informed, be more understanding of others, and make better decisions in all areas of life.
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I think the answer previously given is not correct. Appeal To Possibilities is where it is concluded that something is true because it is possible. That was not the question asked, which was whether a conclusion should be rejected because it is possible that it is not true. The question is a good question and goes (again) to the distinction between validity in Deductive Logic and strength in Inductive Logic. Inductive Logic only requires that the conclusion probably follow from the premises, and if there is only an infinitesimal chance that the Earth will be destroyed by an asteroid in the next 24 hours, then it is a strong argument to conclude that it won't. Only deductive arguments require 100% certainty for validity, and that is because the form of the conclusion follows with necessity from the form of the premises. Deductive arguments never say anything new about the outside world; they only say what you can infer from the form of the premises. Whether confusing a strong Inductive argument with the need for deductive certainty is a named fallacy-I'm not aware that it has been named. |
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answered on Wednesday, Mar 30, 2022 03:39:35 PM by Ed F | ||||||||
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Depends on what they meant. I'd need to see the context to be sure, but I can make three educated guesses: "There's always a possibility you're wrong" - just a factual statement, and it's probably correct (since most arguments are probabilistic, or inductive). "You can't be 100% sure you're right, therefore you're wrong" - non sequitur as it doesn't follow that someone not being certainly right means they have to be wrong. There's a much greater probability that the person is right, so that should be what we focus on. "There's a possibility you're wrong and I'm right, therefore I'm right" - appeal to possibility since the claim is asserted as true based on mere possibility, rather than evidence. |
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answered on Wednesday, Mar 30, 2022 07:31:29 PM by TrappedPrior (RotE) | ||||
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Perhaps, the most insidious fallacy of them all: the appeal to possibilities. |
answered on Wednesday, Mar 30, 2022 02:18:34 PM by Mchasewalker | |
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