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Claims are constantly being made, many of which are confusing, ambiguous, too general to be of value, exaggerated, unfalsifiable, and suggest a dichotomy when no such dichotomy exists. Good critical thinking requires a thorough understanding of the claim before attempting to determine its veracity. Good communication requires the ability to make clear, precise, explicit claims, or “strong” claims. The rules of reason in this book provide the framework for obtaining this understanding and ability.
This book / online course is about the the eleven rules of reason for making and evaluating claims. Each covered in detail in the book.
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Basically, this "wrapper fallacy" is when someone picks a hypothesis that, despite appearing simple, is more complicated than the problem it corresponds to. In other words, it is a deceptively simple hypothesis. By the conjunction effect, the more complex a hypothesis, the less probable it is and the more evidence that is required in its favour. This applies to "wrapper" hypotheses which entail many more assumptions than they might suggest at first glance. Favouring such a hypothesis over others, without the requisite evidence, would fit nicely with the least plausible hypothesis fallacy. |
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| answered on Friday, Sep 02, 2022 07:37:01 AM by TrappedPrior (RotE) | ||||
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