Want to get notified of all questions as they are asked? Update your mail preferences and turn on "Instant Notification."
Many of our ideas about the world are based more on feelings than facts, sensibilities than science, and rage than reality. We gravitate toward ideas that make us feel comfortable in areas such as religion, politics, philosophy, social justice, love and sex, humanity, and morality. We avoid ideas that make us feel uncomfortable. This avoidance is a largely unconscious process that affects our judgment and gets in the way of our ability to reach rational and reasonable conclusions. By understanding how our mind works in this area, we can start embracing uncomfortable ideas and be better informed, be more understanding of others, and make better decisions in all areas of life.
* This is for the author's bookstore only. Applies to autographed hardcover, audiobook, and ebook.
|
Basically, this "wrapper fallacy" is when someone picks a hypothesis that, despite appearing simple, is more complicated than the problem it corresponds to. In other words, it is a deceptively simple hypothesis. By the conjunction effect, the more complex a hypothesis, the less probable it is and the more evidence that is required in its favour. This applies to "wrapper" hypotheses which entail many more assumptions than they might suggest at first glance. Favouring such a hypothesis over others, without the requisite evidence, would fit nicely with the least plausible hypothesis fallacy. |
|||
answered on Friday, Sep 02, 2022 07:37:01 AM by TrappedPrior (RotE) | ||||
TrappedPrior (RotE) Suggested These Categories |
||||
Comments |
||||
|